Transfer learning (TL) has emerged as a powerful tool for improving estimation and prediction performance by leveraging information from related datasets. In this paper, we repurpose the control-variates (CVS) method for TL in the context of scalar-on-function regression. Our proposed framework relies exclusively on dataset-specific summary statistics, avoiding the need to pool subject-level data and thus remaining applicable in privacy-restricted or decentralized settings. We establish theoretical connections among several existing TL strategies and derive convergence rates for our CVS-based proposals. These rates explicitly account for the typically overlooked smoothing error and reveal how the similarity among covariance functions across datasets influences convergence behavior. Numerical studies support the theoretical findings and demonstrate that the proposed methods achieve competitive estimation and prediction performance compared with existing alternatives.

In this paper, we develop a hybrid approach to forecasting the volatility and risk of financial instruments by combining common econometric GARCH time series models with deep learning neural networks. For the latter, we employ Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) networks, whereas four different specifications are used as the GARCH component: standard GARCH, EGARCH, GJR-GARCH and APARCH. Models are tested using daily logarithmic returns on the S&P 500 index as well as gold price Bitcoin prices, with the three assets representing quite distinct volatility dynamics. As the main volatility estimator, also underlying the target function of our hybrid models, we use the price-range-based Garman-Klass estimator, modified to incorporate the opening and closing prices. Volatility forecasts resulting from the hybrid models are employed to evaluate the assets' risk using the Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Expected Shortfall (ES) at two different tolerance levels of 5% and 1%. Gains from combining the GARCH and GRU approaches are discussed in the contexts of both the volatility and risk forecasts. In general, it can be concluded that the hybrid solutions produce more accurate point volatility forecasts, although it does not necessarily translate into superior VaR and ES forecasts.

A compelling and increasingly popular objective in offline bandits is to learn a policy which achieves low Bayesian regret with high confidence. An appealing approach to this problem, inspired by recent offline reinforcement learning results, is to maximize a form of lower confidence bound (LCB). This paper proposes a new approach that directly minimizes upper bounds on Bayesian regret using efficient conic optimization solvers. Our bounds build on connections among Bayesian regret, Value-at-Risk (VaR), and chance-constrained optimization. Compared to prior work, our algorithm attains superior theoretical offline regret bounds and better results in numerical simulations. Finally, we provide some evidence that popular LCB-style algorithms may be unsuitable for minimizing Bayesian regret in offline bandits.

The traditional approach for solving Constraint satisfaction Problems (CSPs) is searching the Assignment Space in which each state represents an assignment to some variables. This paper suggests a new search space formalization for CSPs, the Partial Domain Search Tree (PDST). In each PDST node aunique subset of the original domain is considered, values are excluded from the domains in each node to insure that a given set of constraints is satisfied. We provide theoretical analysis of this new approach showing that searching the PDST is beneficial for loosely constrained problems. Experimental results show that this new formalization is a promising direction for future research. In some cases searching the PDST outperforms the traditional approach by an order of magnitude. Furthermore, PDST can enhance Local Search techniques resulting in solutions that violate up to 30% less constraints.

In these notes we formally describe the functionality of Calculating Valid Domains from the BDD representing the solution space of valid configurations. The formalization is largely based on the CLab configuration framework.